A group of young women in lab coats on McKeldin Mall

Justin Calabrese Headshot
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Justin M. Calabrese
Adjunct Professor
Smithsonian Conservation Biology Institute

Research Interests

I am a quantitative ecologist focusing on the interface between theoretical models and data. I work on a range of themes including the causes and consequences of animal reproductive phenology, spatial pattern formation in semi-arid ecosystems, tick-host interactions in the Lyme disease system, and more recently, animal movement analysis. My general approach is to work collaboratively with experts on the particular systems I study to help forge a stronger connection between the theoretical and empirical sides of the problem.

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All Publications

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Latest Publications via PubMed

Davoodi M,Batista A,Mertel A,Senapati A,Abdussalam W,Vyskocil J,Barbieri G,Fan K,Schlechte-Welnicz W,M Calabrese J
A Web-Based COVID-19 Tool for Testing Residents in Retirement Homes: Development Study.
JMIR Form Res. 2023 Nov 21;7:e45875. doi: 10.2196/45875. Epub 2023 Nov 21
Davoodi M,Batista A,Senapati A,Calabrese JM
Personnel Scheduling during the COVID-19 Pandemic: A Probabilistic Graph-Based Approach.
Healthcare (Basel). 2023 Jul 3;11(13):. doi: 10.3390/healthcare11131917. Epub 2023 Jul 3
Tripathi R,Reza A,Mertel A,Su G,Calabrese JM
A network-based approach to identifying correlations between phylogeny, morphological traits and occurrence of fish species in US river basins.
PLoS One. 2023;18(6):e0287482. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0287482. Epub 2023 Jun 23
Tucker MA,Schipper AM,Adams TSF,Attias N,Avgar T,Babic NL,Barker KJ,Bastille-Rousseau G,Behr DM,Belant JL,Beyer DE Jr,Blaum N,Blount JD,Bockmühl D,Pires Boulhosa RL,Brown MB,Buuveibaatar B,Cagnacci F,Calabrese JM,Černe R,Chamaillé-Jammes S,Chan AN,Chase MJ,Chaval Y,Chenaux-Ibrahim Y,Cherry SG,Ćirović D,Çoban E,Cole EK,Conlee L,Courtemanch A,Cozzi G,Davidson SC,DeBloois D,Dejid N,DeNicola V,Desbiez ALJ,Douglas-Hamilton I,Drake D,Egan M,Eikelboom JAJ,Fagan WF,Farmer MJ,Fennessy J,Finnegan SP,Fleming CH,Fournier B,Fowler NL,Gantchoff MG,Garnier A,Gehr B,Geremia C,Goheen JR,Hauptfleisch ML,Hebblewhite M,Heim M,Hertel AG,Heurich M,Hewison AJM,Hodson J,Hoffman N,Hopcraft JGC,Huber D,Isaac EJ,Janik K,Ježek M,Johansson Ö,Jordan NR,Kaczensky P,Kamaru DN,Kauffman MJ,Kautz TM,Kays R,Kelly AP,Kindberg J,Krofel M,Kusak J,Lamb CT,LaSharr TN,Leimgruber P,Leitner H,Lierz M,Linnell JDC,Lkhagvaja P,Long RA,López-Bao JV,Loretto MC,Marchand P,Martin H,Martinez LA,McBride RT Jr,McLaren AAD,Meisingset E,Melzheimer J,Merrill EH,Middleton AD,Monteith KL,Moore SA,Van Moorter B,Morellet N,Morrison T,Müller R,Mysterud A,Noonan MJ,O'Connor D,Olson D,Olson KA,Ortega AC,Ossi F,Panzacchi M,Patchett R,Patterson BR,de Paula RC,Payne J,Peters W,Petroelje TR,Pitcher BJ,Pokorny B,Poole K,Potočnik H,Poulin MP,Pringle RM,Prins HHT,Ranc N,Reljić S,Robb B,Röder R,Rolandsen CM,Rutz C,Salemgareyev AR,Samelius G,Sayine-Crawford H,Schooler S,Şekercioğlu ÇH,Selva N,Semenzato P,Sergiel A,Sharma K,Shawler AL,Signer J,Silovský V,Silva JP,Simon R,Smiley RA,Smith DW,Solberg EJ,Ellis-Soto D,Spiegel O,Stabach J,Stacy-Dawes J,Stahler DR,Stephenson J,Stewart C,Strand O,Sunde P,Svoboda NJ,Swart J,Thompson JJ,Toal KL,Uiseb K,VanAcker MC,Velilla M,Verzuh TL,Wachter B,Wagler BL,Whittington J,Wikelski M,Wilmers CC,Wittemyer G,Young JK,Zięba F,Zwijacz-Kozica T,Huijbregts MAJ,Mueller T
Behavioral responses of terrestrial mammals to COVID-19 lockdowns.
Science. 2023 Jun 9;380(6649):1059-1064. doi: 10.1126/science.abo6499. Epub 2023 Jun 8
Demers J,Fagan WF,Potluri S,Calabrese JM
The relationship between controllability, optimal testing resource allocation, and incubation-latent period mismatch as revealed by COVID-19.
Infect Dis Model. 2023 Jun;8(2):514-538. doi: 10.1016/j.idm.2023.04.007. Epub 2023 May 16
Davoodi M,Senapati A,Mertel A,Schlechte-Welnicz W,M Calabrese J
On the optimal presence strategies for workplace during pandemics: A COVID-19 inspired probabilistic model.
PLoS One. 2023;18(5):e0285601. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0285601. Epub 2023 May 12
Su G,Mertel A,Brosse S,Calabrese JM
Species invasiveness and community invasibility of North American freshwater fish fauna revealed via trait-based analysis.
Nat Commun. 2023 Apr 22;14(1):2332. doi: 10.1038/s41467-023-38107-2. Epub 2023 Apr 22
Mertel A,Vyskočil J,Schüler L,Schlechte-Wełnicz W,Calabrese JM
Fine-scale variation in the effect of national border on COVID-19 spread: A case study of the Saxon-Czech border region.
Spat Spatiotemporal Epidemiol. 2023 Feb;44:100560. doi: 10.1016/j.sste.2022.100560. Epub 2022 Dec 11
Calabrese JM,Demers J
How optimal allocation of limited testing capacity changes epidemic dynamics.
J Theor Biol. 2022 Apr 7;538:111017. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2022.111017. Epub 2022 Jan 24
Schüler L,Calabrese JM,Attinger S
Data driven high resolution modeling and spatial analyses of the COVID-19 pandemic in Germany.
PLoS One. 2021;16(8):e0254660. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0254660. Epub 2021 Aug 18
Stratmann TSM,Dejid N,Calabrese JM,Fagan WF,Fleming CH,Olson KA,Mueller T
Resource selection of a nomadic ungulate in a dynamic landscape.
PLoS One. 2021;16(2):e0246809. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0246809. Epub 2021 Feb 12
Martinez-Garcia R,Fleming CH,Seppelt R,Fagan WF,Calabrese JM
How range residency and long-range perception change encounter rates.
J Theor Biol. 2020 Aug 7;498:110267. doi: 10.1016/j.jtbi.2020.110267. Epub 2020 Apr 7
Noonan MJ,Fleming CH,Tucker MA,Kays R,Harrison AL,Crofoot MC,Abrahms B,Alberts SC,Ali AH,Altmann J,Antunes PC,Attias N,Belant JL,Beyer DE Jr,Bidner LR,Blaum N,Boone RB,Caillaud D,de Paula RC,de la Torre JA,Dekker J,DePerno CS,Farhadinia M,Fennessy J,Fichtel C,Fischer C,Ford A,Goheen JR,Havmøller RW,Hirsch BT,Hurtado C,Isbell LA,Janssen R,Jeltsch F,Kaczensky P,Kaneko Y,Kappeler P,Katna A,Kauffman M,Koch F,Kulkarni A,LaPoint S,Leimgruber P,Macdonald DW,Markham AC,McMahon L,Mertes K,Moorman CE,Morato RG,Moßbrucker AM,Mourão G,O'Connor D,Oliveira-Santos LGR,Pastorini J,Patterson BD,Rachlow J,Ranglack DH,Reid N,Scantlebury DM,Scott DM,Selva N,Sergiel A,Songer M,Songsasen N,Stabach JA,Stacy-Dawes J,Swingen MB,Thompson JJ,Ullmann W,Vanak AT,Thaker M,Wilson JW,Yamazaki K,Yarnell RW,Zieba F,Zwijacz-Kozica T,Fagan WF,Mueller T,Calabrese JM
Effects of body size on estimation of mammalian area requirements.
Conserv Biol. 2020 Aug;34(4):1017-1028. doi: 10.1111/cobi.13495. Epub 2020 Jun 18
Noonan MJ,Fleming CH,Akre TS,Drescher-Lehman J,Gurarie E,Harrison AL,Kays R,Calabrese JM
Scale-insensitive estimation of speed and distance traveled from animal tracking data.
Mov Ecol. 2019;7:35. doi: 10.1186/s40462-019-0177-1. Epub 2019 Nov 15
Calabrese JM,Moss Clay A,Estes RD,Thompson KV,Monfort SL
Male rutting calls synchronize reproduction in Serengeti wildebeest.
Sci Rep. 2018 Jul 5;8(1):10202. doi: 10.1038/s41598-018-28307-y. Epub 2018 Jul 5
Calabrese JM,Fleming CH,Fagan WF,Rimmler M,Kaczensky P,Bewick S,Leimgruber P,Mueller T
Disentangling social interactions and environmental drivers in multi-individual wildlife tracking data.
Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2018 May 19;373(1746):. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2017.0007. Epub
Tucker MA,Böhning-Gaese K,Fagan WF,Fryxell JM,Van Moorter B,Alberts SC,Ali AH,Allen AM,Attias N,Avgar T,Bartlam-Brooks H,Bayarbaatar B,Belant JL,Bertassoni A,Beyer D,Bidner L,van Beest FM,Blake S,Blaum N,Bracis C,Brown D,de Bruyn PJN,Cagnacci F,Calabrese JM,Camilo-Alves C,Chamaillé-Jammes S,Chiaradia A,Davidson SC,Dennis T,DeStefano S,Diefenbach D,Douglas-Hamilton I,Fennessy J,Fichtel C,Fiedler W,Fischer C,Fischhoff I,Fleming CH,Ford AT,Fritz SA,Gehr B,Goheen JR,Gurarie E,Hebblewhite M,Heurich M,Hewison AJM,Hof C,Hurme E,Isbell LA,Janssen R,Jeltsch F,Kaczensky P,Kane A,Kappeler PM,Kauffman M,Kays R,Kimuyu D,Koch F,Kranstauber B,LaPoint S,Leimgruber P,Linnell JDC,López-López P,Markham AC,Mattisson J,Medici EP,Mellone U,Merrill E,de Miranda Mourão G,Morato RG,Morellet N,Morrison TA,Díaz-Muñoz SL,Mysterud A,Nandintsetseg D,Nathan R,Niamir A,Odden J,O'Hara RB,Oliveira-Santos LGR,Olson KA,Patterson BD,Cunha de Paula R,Pedrotti L,Reineking B,Rimmler M,Rogers TL,Rolandsen CM,Rosenberry CS,Rubenstein DI,Safi K,Saïd S,Sapir N,Sawyer H,Schmidt NM,Selva N,Sergiel A,Shiilegdamba E,Silva JP,Singh N,Solberg EJ,Spiegel O,Strand O,Sundaresan S,Ullmann W,Voigt U,Wall J,Wattles D,Wikelski M,Wilmers CC,Wilson JW,Wittemyer G,Zięba F,Zwijacz-Kozica T,Mueller T
Moving in the Anthropocene: Global reductions in terrestrial mammalian movements.
Science. 2018 Jan 26;359(6374):466-469. doi: 10.1126/science.aam9712. Epub
Gurarie E,Cagnacci F,Peters W,Fleming CH,Calabrese JM,Mueller T,Fagan WF
A framework for modelling range shifts and migrations: asking when, whither, whether and will it return.
J Anim Ecol. 2017 Jul;86(4):943-959. doi: 10.1111/1365-2656.12674. Epub 2017 May 25